Bitcoin (BTC) may very well be in for a return to ranges not seen since earlier than its 2020 bull market if historical past repeats itself.

That was in line with new evaluation launched on Might 24, which studied Bitcoin’s interplay with its 200-week transferring common (WMA).

Bitcoin flooring goal may very well be between $15,500 and $19,000

In a Twitter thread, standard dealer and analyst Rekt Capital explained how BTC/USD may behave ought to it fall to retest the 200WMA.

A lifeline all through Bitcoin’s historical past, the 200WMA is a continually rising line of final assist that has by no means been definitively damaged.

At present sitting at round $22,000, information from Cointelegraph Markets Professional and TradingView reveals that the extent continues to behave as a line within the sand in the case of bear markets.

In occasions previous, Rekt Capital notes, Bitcoin has been “depraved” under the 200WMA — briefly capitulating earlier than rising again above, permitting it to stay as assist and never as an alternative flip to resistance.

These wicks, nevertheless, have concerned as much as 28% of the spot worth, that means that ought to the same wick happen now, Bitcoin would find yourself at $15,500.

“BTC tends to wick -14% to -28% under the 200-MA. And because the $BTC 200-MA now represents the worth level of ~$22000… A -14% draw back wick under the 200-MA would lead to a ~$19000 Bitcoin,” Rekt Capital wrote.

“And if BTC had been to repeat the March 2020 draw back wicking depth under the 200-MA $BTC would revisit the ~$15500 worth level.”

“Concentrate” under $23,000

As Cointelegraph reported, a lot has been product of Bitcoin worth motion on Might 24 in comparison with March 2020 on the peak of the COVID-19 cross-market crash.

Bitcoin dives to fill CME hole amid declare new all-time highs will take 2 years

Rekt Capital moreover examined historic drawdowns from all-time highs and Bitcoin’s “loss of life crosses” this month, producing a BTC worth goal of $22,700 — virtually precisely on the present 200WM.

“BTC is slowly approaching the 200-MA Traditionally, the 200-MA tends to supply implausible alternatives with outsized ROI for long-term $BTC buyers (inexperienced circles),” he added alongside a chart exhibiting interactions.

“Ought to BTC certainly attain the 200-MA assist… It might be clever to concentrate.”

Fellow analyst PlanB, the creator of the stock-to-flow BTC worth fashions, has additionally lengthy championed the function of the 200WMA as assist.

The views and opinions expressed listed here are solely these of the writer and don’t essentially replicate the views of Cointelegraph.com. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, you need to conduct your individual analysis when making a call.