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Trader who called 2017 Bitcoin price crash raises concerns over ‘double top’

Bitcoin (BTC) may very well be forming a so-called “double prime” sample after falling by over 30% from its document excessive of $69,000, suggests Peter Brandt, a veteran dealer recognized for accurately calling the crypto market prime in December 2017.

The Issue LLC CEOrecalled Bitcoin’s incapability to increase its worth rally above its earlier all-time excessive close to $65,000 after a second strive. In the meantime, he illustrated an instantaneous assist degree for the BTC worth at a so-called neckline close to $30,000 whereas alerting about additional declines beneath this key degree.

BTC/USD weekly worth chart that includes double prime sample. Source: TradingView, Peter Brandt

Is a 50% Bitcoin worth crash sensible?

Intimately, conventional chartists understand the formation of two consecutive tops, every resulting in a powerful worth retracement to the draw back, as an indication of bearish reversal. The draw back goal in a double prime state of affairs involves be roughly as deep as the peak of the sample’s formation.

However the double topdownside target is somewhat unrealistic here because confirmation of the pattern would suggest a nearly $35,000 decline in Bitcoin price. Meaning, BTC price would be at risk of crashing below $0 in a perfect world, a scenario which is highly unlikely.

Nonetheless, should the price break bearish below the neckline of $30,000, Bitcoin’s ultimate downside target may turn out to be the 200-week exponential moving average (200-week EMA; the orange wave in the chart below), currently about 50% below the current price levels, near $23,500.

BTC/USD daily price chart featuring 200-week EMA support. Source: TradingView

The 200-week EMA has been instrumental in calling out the bottoms in a bear market, as shown by the upward-pointing arrows in the chart above. However, Brandt reminded:

“A chart pattern is NOT NOT NOT a chart pattern until it is completed and confirmed. Until that time it is only of passing interest to me.”

Just another BTC price dip?

Ignoring the potential bearish outlooks,Bitpanda’s chief product officerLukas Enzersdorfer-Konrad asserted that Bitcoin’s price decline from $69,000 to $42,000 is similar to its May 2021 price crash, wherein it plunged by over 50%, only to pare all those losses and hit a new record high later.

“Similarly to the recent drop, overleveraged positions increased volatility and wiped away most of the long positions,”Enzersdorfer-Konrad told Cointelegraph in a statement via email as he referred to the $2.5 billion worth of liquidation in a matter of hours on Dec. 4, which caused around 20% intraday correction in most liquid crypto assets.

The analyst added:

“The Bitcoin market needs some time to recover in these situations, and intraday charts are still volatile, but it is still bullish on the higher time frame.”

Bitcoin tumbles below $47K wiping out October gains — Bear market begins?

From a bullish technicals standpoint, one popular independent market analyst known by the pseudonym “Wolf,” presented Bitcoin as an oversold asset primarily based on its relative power index (RSI) readings on a daily-timeframe chart.

BTC/USD each day worth chart that includes RSI bounce. Source: TradingView, @IamCryptoWolf

Wolf anticipated the BTC worth to check $51,780 as its subsequent resistance degree, with an prolonged upside goal at close to $60,000.

The views and opinions expressed listed here are solely these of the writer and don’t essentially mirror the views of Cointelegraph.com. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails threat, you must conduct your individual analysis when making a call.

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