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– TIMESTAMPS –
0:00 Intro
2:00 Which is extra unstable?
4:59 Tesla Overvalued?
7:16 Earnings Progress Potential
11:23 Bitcoin Funding Circumstances
15:00 Inflation Hedge
17:28 Worth of Ethereum
20:05 Conclusion
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⛓️ 🔗 Helpful Hyperlinks 🔗 ⛓️
► Accounting Ratios:
► Inventory to Circulation Mannequin:
► Fats Protocol:
► Automotive A number of:
► Etheruem 2.0 Staking Rewards:
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😱 Extra Risky? 😱
Over the previous 30 days, the rolling volatility on Tesla inventory has been about 70%. Against this, the 30 day realised volatility on Bitcoin is simply at 28%.
Having a look at ahead trying volatility by way of choice implied vol, TSLA is over 104% whereas Bitcoin is simply about 50%. Tesla is a a lot riskier asset to carry than Bitcoin. Not solely on a foundation of historic efficiency but additionally primarily based on what volatility is predicted.
🤔 Tesla Overvalued? 🤔
At Tesla, primarily based on anticipated adjusted EPS for 2020 of $4.43, the Ahead PE ratio is over 339 instances. Different vehicles solely have 6.87x
Some folks could counter that Value-to-Earnings will not be the very best a number of to make use of for this. They declare that Value-to-sales is a greater measure as Tesla is extra of a “tech” firm.
Primarily based on an estimated gross sales projection, Tesla has a ahead worth to gross sales ratio of about 10.2 instances. Amazon has a 4.3 instances worth to gross sales ratio. Google has a 6.9 ratio.
📈 Tesla Progress Life like? 📈
Hybrid Autos are less expensive than BEVs and will present a cheap approach for folks to purchase an environmentally sustainable automotive. Or even when folks have been useless set on getting a BEV, may they not go for a less expensive automotive.
Economies of scale on the gigafactories may come however that is assuming that Tesla can replicate the Shanghai gigafactory in nations akin to Germany. In Germany there are sturdy commerce unions which may improve costs
There’s additionally considerations about the long run macroeconomic influence that might come from a second wave of Covid 19. If this have been the case then folks could possibly be much less seemingly to purchase a BEV. Lastly, you even have to think about that authorities subsidies is not going to be as beneficiant given the sum of money to combat covid.
💸 Bitcoin Potential 💸
Bitcoin is a uncommon asset that has a provide restricted to 21 million BTC. Which means like a commodity, there may be little or no of it to go round. You’ll be able to worth worth projections of Bitcoin primarily based on the inventory to stream mannequin.
It seems to be at a ratio of how a lot Bitcoin is hitting the market (stream) and the present excellent bitcoin (inventory).
The S2F worth for Bitcoin is growing because it goes by way of its halving phases and the stream of latest bitcoin hitting the alternate drops.
Bitcoin additionally has an additional advantage in that it may be seen as an inflation hedge. As governments spend more cash, this cash is prone to flood the market and result in larger costs. This contains inventory costs like Tesla. Nevertheless, Bitcoin is proscribed in provide and therefore can not have it is buying energy eroded.
💸 Ethereum Potential 💸
Ethereum is effective based on the “Fats Protocol” idea. ETH is effective as a result of the extra that the community is used, the extra demand that there’s for the cryptocurrency that powers stated community.
Numerous this worth is pushed by that explosive progress in DeFi which suggests a complete lot of use on the protocol. You even have the upcoming launch of Ethereum 2.0 which is able to introduce staking and imply an everyday return on ETH holdings (higher than shares that do not pay dividends).
Staking is just one element of Etheruem 2.0. When it launches additionally, you will have effeminacy enhancements which may make it alot extra usable and therefore improve its worth based on the Fats protocol idea.
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📜 Disclaimer 📜
The knowledge contained herein is for informational functions solely. Nothing herein shall be construed to be monetary authorized or tax recommendation. The content material of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who will not be a licensed monetary advisor or registered funding advisor. Buying and selling Foreign exchange, cryptocurrencies and CFDs poses appreciable danger of loss. The speaker doesn’t assure any explicit consequence.
#Tesla #Bitcoin #btc #crypto #shares #tsla #wallstreet #buying and selling
Source: Coin Bureau
36 Responses
Man, I really respect your opinions and agree with you on most things, but you truly don’t get Tesla.
I don’t blame you, there are very few people who understand both crypto and Tesla at the high level, perhaps Gali from HyperChange being one of them.
whenever I say I am into crypto people ask me to teach them. they think they can become masters in few minutes, its a job which needs your active participation. it took me months before I made some really profits which was accompanied by the help of a financial advisor Mr Lucas
Your analysis is too short term… I'm investing not trading and am interesting a 10 year time frame… I'm going 50% TSLA and planning 50% BTC for its build in scarcity reasons… although I could be sway into ETH or even ADA rather than BTC….
this guy is big Fraud !!! dont listen to him! 😀
Tesla is gonna be so huge by 2030. It's not just an auto maker anymore and will be turning from consumer cars towards robo-taxi networks and semi-trucks with full self driving in the next few years as well as an energy business with solar energy and their power storage technology. They are lightyears ahead of the competition.
Dude, let me point out that the existence of this video is a testament of the insanity of the internet.
But any way, I think that your video is well intentioned, but it seems like you're suffering from a Dunning Kruger effect.
The analysis on $TSLA was poor, you've berrally scratched the surface, not even trying to actually evaluate the the quality of the business, only comparing Tesla to supposedly analogous companies.
You seem to have assumed that it doesn't have any particularly strong moats other than brand recognition, even though a glance at their consistently dominant position in the market would reveal it to be rather unlikely.
Another poor judgment you implicitely made was to assume that the volatility in the stock related to an underlying volatility in the business, and thus expect to continue, but that is not the case. The business and its prospects have berrally changed this year, it had only matured. The vast majority of the volatility actually originated from the market's re-evaluation of the probability of success of the business model, as a result of newly revealed information about its ability to survive harsh economic environments, and thus this years volatility is simply a one time event.
I have more criticism, but this is already a long comment.
In retrospect, it was inevitable
Interesting how bitcoin valued 40k at the end of the year, instead of the prediction of it being 30.
Bitcoin = tesla, same trend
So Tesla might drop 70%? for bitcoin you came really close.So recently Elon became wealthiest man in the world leaving Bezos at second place and Tesla's shares reached ATH..
$eth will flip $btc but as block chain becomes normal people will invest in other alts that they find affordable and impressive…every company will start its own alt…in one way shares will become new money……
I’m a new subscriber, checking “old” videos and although I already trust your insights on crypto, you completely missed the mark on Tesla.
Tesla might be an auto or tech company, but it surely is a vertically integrated, decentralized producer to consumer MISSION, to “Advance the advent of sustainable energy”.
In a lot of ways Tesla is like crypto: disrupting and decentralizing energy production and distribution, allowing people to have and control their own “fuel pump” at their house.
This is what you and a lot of now poor shorts have missed.
This is why Tesla was the only auto maker growing this year.
This is why in this 4 month Tesla stock more than doubled the price.
F. D. Of course I own stock. Of course I was quite happy to see my car in your background!
25 minutes of bullshit
Comparing Tesla to BTC is like Oranges to Dump Trucks.
Two different assets.
BTC will not reach $15k this year(2020), let alone its ATH.
Thanks for the great videos. I own all assets mentioned and constantly on the hunt for more information. I think you missed one huge moat that Tesla has. Their charging network. I recently took a trip across the US. FL to Yellowstone to NYC back to FL. Just for fun in my Model S 85 D. It was Awesome. I also have two other non Tesla EV. Tesla is so far ahead on so many levels but their super charger network alone leave all others DOA.
It's a no brainer as i'll invest on getting more $ETH on changenow.io
…..
Tesla (TSLA) stock is better than Gold . Overstock.com (OSTK) is also a good investment .
I have a feeling because you use the term "bitcoin" in the title causes youtube made this video less visible.
tesla will do well in the future, but so will BTC ; TSLA price is currently inflated due to excess $$ from the US FedRes ; BTC will eventually become the global standard reserve currency, thus eventually everything will be valued in satoshis, not US dollars ; take from that what you will ; they are both riskier in the short term vs the long term
People miss the most valuable thing Tesla has though, the absolutely ridiculous lead on self driving software and data. In the future a majority of their profit will be from software I think. Yes the price is too high right now, but long term Tesla is in a place to surpass many traditional automakers.
Great video ,makes sense and well delivered! One of my go to channels for real info! Thanks from a Brit abroad! Stay safe and hodl your eth!
I'm glad Tesla stock is so overpriced right now so I'm not psychologically tortured about not holding any right now and I can just keep hodling bitcoin. Once I exit bitcoin near the peak of FOMO in 2021 or 2022 hopefully Tesla will be at a more reasonable valuation and I can move my capital back into Tesla again. Or maybe Square. Or both.
Guy please check this one out now that you talk about Tesla: Energy Web Token
If I could like this video twice, I would. Thank you for always creating such detailed and well researched content. I love your videos!
Spot on my friend. Great reporting!
1 Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future. —Niels Bohr
2 No one can predict the future of cryptos with 100% accuracy, not even crypto guru Guru Guy. BTC will be $10K to $11K by December 31.
3 Never fall for get-rich-quick crypto schemes, which are all over YouTube—if it sounds too good to be true it's a scam. It's a jungle out there.
💕 ☮ 🌎 🌌
Elrond is going to moon again 1550% gain in 3 months hurry crypto.com staking coming soon
Great video as always. The only critique I have on your view on Tesla is it isn’t a car company. It’s a car, energy, software, gaming console, & transportation companies.
My biggest holding is BTC my second is Tesla.
you just earned a subscriber …. and a like . its a good explanation! . Thanks for the effort ! . its not easy to compile of this data…
Love the content but I'm gonna have to disagree with you on this one Guy, firstly Ev's are definately the winner not hybrids the data is clear on that, Tesla has very impressive growth last year they delivered 365k cars this year the guidence was 500k and they stuck with it ( even during covid when all other car companies are struggling that's mighty impressive if you ask me) model 3 outsold Honda Civic and became the best selling sedan in California ! as far as the most goes , they have the best battery technology 400 miles on model S closest competitor at 300 miles ( not even in the market yet) and most important moat self driving due to the fact they have750k cars on the road collecting data for AI learning in all conditions compared to couple hundred cars waymo has.
Perhaps consideration should be offer in regard to the driverless vehicle market and, of equal importance, the home energy market. It was my understanding Tesla's valuation went well beyond simply the revenue from traditional vehicle sales.
can you make a video about decentralized insurance?
imagine how smart you can get by watching one of your videos every day.
Invested in cryptos, but also in NIO stock. Hoping for a pump next week. 😉